TMK Announces 4Q 2016 and FY 2016 Operational Results

13.01.2017

The following contains forward looking statements concerning future events. These forward looking statements are based on current information and assumptions of TMK management concerning known and unknown risks and uncertainties.

TMK, one of the world’s leading producers of tubular products for the oil and gas industry, announces its operational results for the fourth quarter of 2016 and full year 2016.

4Q 2016 and FY 2016 Summary Results

(thousand tonnes)

Product

4Q 2016

3Q

2016

Q-o-Q, %

2016

2015

Y-o-Y, %

Seamless pipe

633

614

3.1%

2,398

2,413

(0.6)%

Welded pipe

249

208

20.0%

1,042

1,460

(28.7)%

Total

882

822

7.4%

3,440

3,873

(11.2)%

including

 OCTG

382

374

2.2%

1,401

1,480

(5.3)%

 

4Q 2016 Highlights

 

FY 2016 Highlights

 

4Q 2016 and FY 2016 Results by Division

RUSSIAN DIVISION

4Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2016

In 4Q 2016, TMK’s Russian division shipped a total of 721k tonnes(1) of tubular products, up 11.3% q-o-q. OCTG shipments grew by 6.8% to 283k tonnes due to a traditional seasonal surge in demand from the oil and gas industry.

Seamless pipe shipments amounted to 485k tonnes, up 6.9% q-o-q.

Welded pipe shipments were up 21.6% to 236k tonnes, largely driven by higher sales of welded line pipe on higher demand from oil and gas companies.

Large-diameter pipe (LDP) shipments were 122k tonnes, up 1.5% q-o-q.

FY 2016 vs. FY 2015

In 2016, the Russian division shipped a total of 2,866k tonnes of tubular products, down 8.6% y-o-y.

Seamless pipe shipments remained almost flat y-o-y at 1,899k tonnes.

OCTG shipments grew by 4.4% as drilling activity continued to rise in the Russian market.

During 2016, Russian division shipped a total of 967k tonnes of welded pipe, down 22.3% y-o-y, including 518k tonnes of LDP, down 18.1% from the previous year, when LDP sales had reached record highs. Importantly, the Company has grown its share of the Russian LDP market.

 

(1) This includes shipments from TMK’s Russian facilities, TMK-Kaztrubprom and TMK GIPI to the Russian, CIS and non-CIS markets (excluding North America).

 

AMERICAN DIVISION

4Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2016

According to Baker Hughes, in 4Q 2016, the active rig count in the USA totalled 658 rigs, a 21% increase q-o-q.

Overall in the second half of 2016 TMK’s American division demonstrated a very strong shipments growth of 66.9%. At the same time most of this growth happened in Q3 on the back of active inventory build-up by dealers. In 4Q 2016 we saw a decline in its shipments of tubular products, which fell 14.4% q-o-q to 116k tonnes.

Seamless pipe shipments declined 15.5% q-o-q to 104k tonnes. Seamless OCTG shipments were down 7.7% q-o-q to 97k tonnes on the back of 3Q 2016 high sales.

Welded pipe shipments in the American division remained largely unchanged at 13k tonnes.

This 4Q decline, however, is a one-off phenomenon as we continue seeing a very strong growth while entering 2017.

 

FY 2016 vs. FY 2015

In 2016, TMK’s American Division shipped a total of 403k tonnes of tubular products, down 29.8% y-o-y. The drop was due to further declines in drilling activity during 1H 2016.

Seamless pipe shipments were 328k tonnes, a decline of 8.6% y-o-y. Seamless OCGT shipments amounted to 293k tonnes, down 5.9% y-o-y.

Shipments of welded pipe dropped 65.2% to 75k tonnes.

 

EUROPEAN DIVISION

4Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2016

In 4Q 2016, seamless pipe shipments in TMK’s European division were up 17.7% q-o-q to 45k tonnes, driven by stabilising demand for industrial pipe. Nevertheless, this segment of the European market still sees high levels of competition.

FY 2016 vs. FY 2015

In 2016, pipe shipments in the European division totalled 171k tonnes, up 6.0% y-o-y.

 

Premium Segment

On the back of oil prices stabilization and further growth in 2H 2016 American producers increased drilling ambitiously, which, together with horizontal drilling growth in Russia, provided TMK UP™ premium threaded connections shipments upturn in 2H 2016.

In 4Q 2016, TMK won a tender by OOO Gazprom Komplektatsiya and supplied 2.5 thousand tonnes of pipe with TMK UP FMC and TMK UP GF premium threaded connections.

As the successful bidder in a tender by Norway’s Statoil, TMK made the first shipment of casing pipes with TMK UP Magna, TMK UP CWB and TMK UP PF premium threaded connections for Statoil’s project in the Samara region at the Mityaevskoe and Neprikovskoe fields.

2017 Outlook

According to TMK, Russian oil and gas companies’ planned oil production cuts will not substantially affect OCTG and line pipe consumption in 2017 in Russia, which will remain flat Y-o-Y with possible moderate growth of OCTG. Meanwhile, we expect a decline in LDP consumption due to the completion, or rescheduling of a number of major pipeline construction projects. Welded industrial pipe demand will be flat Y-o-Y.

With the anticipated rebalancing of the global oil market, TMK expects American oil & gas companies to invest more in exploration and production; thus, increasing drill count will drive the recovery of oil and gas pipe consumption.

Demand for seamless industrial pipe in Europe is expected to grow slightly on the back of increased demand from machine building industries.

Overall, in 2017, the Company expects an increase in shipments of its main target product segments y-o-y, primarily thanks to the recovery of the North American market and stable sales volumes in Russia.

 TMK Announces 4Q 2016 and FY 2016 Operational Results


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